Tara Capital Investment Framework

A systematic lens on
the macro regime

Seven signal categories. One composite score. A clear regime label every Monday. The TCIF translates macro complexity into a decision-ready framework for portfolio positioning.

This Week's Reading → View Archive Framework Explainer
Current Regime Reading
🟡 Mid-Cycle Growth
57.7
composite score / 100
LOW confidence
Liquidity
54
Real Yields
53
Dollar
50
Credit Conditions
56
Growth Indicators
56
Financial Conditions
73
Inflation
52
AI CapEx
76
Corporate Earnings & Profitability
83
Fiscal Sustainability & QE Viability
44
Updated 12 October 2026  ·  Full reading →
Year to Date

Regime Track Record

Both charts updated every Monday. A building history of how the framework has read the environment since inception.

Composite Regime Score — YTD
TCIF Composite Score YTD
Category Breakdown — YTD
TCIF Category Scores YTD
Weekly Reports

Recent Readings

Every Monday at 07:45 UTC. Click any row for the full report.

12 Oct 2026 🟡 Mid-Cycle Growth 57.7/100 LOW → 5 Oct 2026 🟡 Mid-Cycle Growth 58.3/100 LOW → 1 Oct 2026 🟡 Mid-Cycle Growth 58.9/100 LOW → 28 Sep 2026 🟡 Mid-Cycle Growth 58.3/100 LOW → 21 Sep 2026 🟡 Mid-Cycle Growth 61.2/100 LOW →
View Full Archive →
How it works

Seven signals. One framework.

01
Data Fetch
Every Monday, real-time data is pulled across liquidity, yields, dollar, credit, growth, financial conditions, and AI capex.
02
Category Scoring
Each of the ten categories is scored 0–100. Direction of travel matters as much as the absolute level.
03
Regime Classification
The composite score maps to a regime label — Expansion, Mid-Cycle, Late-Cycle, Contraction, or Recessionary — with a confidence level.
04
Portfolio Signals
The regime feeds three independent engines: sector rotation, country allocation, and theme positioning. Convergence across all three is the highest-conviction signal.
Read the full framework explainer →

Follow the framework

The TCIF publishes every Monday. If you find it useful, or want to discuss how it might inform your own portfolio thinking, get in touch.

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